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  • Ryan Hodge and Sandra Tavares | London, Ontario Real Estate Brokers

    August 2026 Market Update: Buyers Just Got More Leverage in London, Ontario

    Thursday, Sep 10, 2026

    London & St. Thomas Market Update — August 2026

    Inventory Just Hit 6.3 Months. Here's What That Means For You.

    The London and St. Thomas market cooled further in August, and buyers are holding more leverage than they've had in years — here's how to read the numbers and what to do next.


    Watch the Full Video

    01

    The August Snapshot: A Market Firmly in Buyer's Territory

    The MLS® HPI Composite Benchmark Price for London and St. Thomas landed at $553,500 in August, down 3.5% from a year ago. That benchmark — not the average sale price — is the number that best reflects what a typical home in this market is actually worth, because it strips out the swings caused by a handful of high-end sales.

    The average price told a steeper story at $590,550, down 9.3% year-over-year, and the median came in at $553,950, down 6.7%. Home sales volume dropped 14.3%, with 526 units changing hands across the region.

    HPI Benchmark

    $553,500

    Down 3.5% year-over-year

    Months of Supply

    6.3

    Firmly in buyer's market territory

    Days on Market

    28

    Median, with a 97.1% sale-to-list ratio

    02

    Buyer Leverage Unleashed

    Six-point-three months of inventory is the clearest signal in this report. Anything above roughly five to six months tips a market toward buyers, and London-St. Thomas is now solidly there. New listings reached 1,403 for the month, active listings climbed to 3,332, and the sales-to-new-listings ratio slipped to 37.5%.

    For buyers, that means more homes to choose from, more room to negotiate on price and conditions, and far less pressure to waive protections just to compete.

    2026 is shaping up to be the year of the buyer — and sellers who price to today's data, not last year's market, are the ones still finding success.

    03

    Seller Strategy: Why Sharper Pricing Wins Now

    With inventory building and buyers doing more comparison shopping, overpricing has real consequences: listings sit, momentum fades, and price drops end up costing more than starting right does. A data-driven list price — anchored to the HPI benchmark and recent comparable closings, not last spring's numbers — is what keeps a listing competitive from day one.

    The 97.1% sale-to-list ratio is worth noting here: homes priced correctly are still closing close to asking. The gap isn't in what buyers will pay for a well-priced home — it's in how long an overpriced one sits before that correction happens anyway.

    04

    Regional Nuances: Not Every Pocket Is Moving the Same Way

    Regional data shows London East and St. Thomas bucking the broader downward trend with local price gains even as the overall market cooled. That's the kind of detail a region-wide average can hide entirely — property type, neighbourhood, and price band all move at their own pace right now, from one-storey and two-storey homes to townhomes and apartment-style condos, which are seeing the softest month-over-month pricing of the group.

    National & Policy Context

    • The Bank of Canada held its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2, 2026 — its seventh consecutive hold, with the rate unchanged since October 2025.
    • CREA's latest quarterly forecast projects the national average home price rising 1.1% to roughly $686,710 in 2026, with national sales climbing a further 3.7% to about 480,567 units in 2027.
    • Ontario is currently the only province CREA expects to see annual sales increase in 2026 — a detail that matters for how London-area demand compares to the rest of the country.
    • First-time buyers and upsizers should confirm eligibility for current federal and provincial incentive programs before finalizing a purchase budget, as thresholds and terms can shift between announcements.

    05

    Heading Into Fall: What to Watch

    With the Bank of Canada signalling a prolonged hold rather than near-term cuts, borrowing costs are unlikely to be the variable that moves this market before year-end. That puts pricing strategy and inventory levels back in the driver's seat heading into the fall and Labour Day adjustment period — typically the window where sellers who've been sitting reassess and buyers who've been waiting start moving.

    Whether you're buying your first home, selling your current property, relocating to London, or investing in the region, the read for the next few months is the same: know the real numbers for your specific neighbourhood and property type before you set a price or make an offer.

    Let's Build Your Real Estate Plan

    Whether you're timing a sale, positioning an offer, or just want to understand what your home is worth in today's market, we're here to walk through the numbers with you — no pressure, just clarity.

    Visit Us Online at www.ryanandsandra.ca

    Ryan Hodge and Sandra Tavares

    London, Ontario Real Estate Brokers — The Realty Firm Inc., Brokerage

    519-601-1160
    ryan@therealtyfirm.ca
    www.ryanandsandra.ca
    734 Wellington Street, London, Ontario N6A 3S2

    Awards & Reviews

    Data source: London and St. Thomas Association of REALTORS® (LSTAR) / CREA MLS® Report, August 2026. National context: Bank of Canada, September 2, 2026 rate announcement; CREA Quarterly Forecast, July 2026.

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